“Zombie parliament” is expected to be held with new elections on 12. December

House of Commons. Photo: UK Parliament. License: CC BY 3.0

Meanwhile, even the British government no longer believes that the exit date of 31. October is still to be held

The Chancellor of the Exchequer, Sajid Javid, today publicly admitted to a member of the British government that the 31. October as the deadline for Britain’s exit from the EU, after the House of Commons refused to decide on Boris Johnson’s new deal with Jean-Claude Juncker and the associated ratification legislation sooner than usual. This "Zombie Parliament" now wants to see the Tories put an end to it through an early election.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson had shown the same view yesterday when he tweeted: "If this parliament can’t get Brexit done, we need another one to do it." Johnson’s preferred date for an early election is 12 December. December, one of the Thursdays customary in the United Kingdom for elections.

Tories ten to 15 points ahead of Labour

According to Jacob Rees-Mogg, the government will submit a motion for an early election on that day for a vote on Monday. Whether this motion will get the two-thirds majority needed for its adoption depends on Labor Party delegates. While the other two main opposition parties, the Liberal Democrats and the Scottish National Party (SNP), have already signaled their support, Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has been more cautious.

This difference could also have to do with polls showing that Tories, Liberal Democrats, and Scottish Separatists have significantly less to fear in such elections than Labour’s. With 22 to 27 percent of the vote in the last three surveys, it is very clearly behind Johnson’s Tories, who have 36 to 37 percent there. Since in Britain’s first-past-the-post majority voting system the distance to the second strongest party says more about the expected number of seats than the share of the vote, these 36 to 37 percent could well be enough for a clear Tory majority in a new House of Commons.

No one expects the EU Council not to approve the extension anymore

Officially, however, Corbyn cites the fact that a decision has not yet been made on whether to approve the request for a referendum in Brussels and that, in his words, the risk of a referendum continues to exist "hard" Brexit as the reason for its withdrawal. EU Council President Donald Tusk, however, has already promised approval of the extension. The Kashubian told the European Parliament that a no-deal Brexit would be "never be our decision".

Boris Johnson also apparently does not expect any EU member state to oppose an extension. However, according to his own statements, he would have liked a short extension "to 15. or to the 30. November" rather than the forced 31. January requested. However, the BBC’s European correspondent Kevin Connolly believes that representatives of most of the remaining EU member states are leaning toward a third option: an extension to 31. January, coupled with the option to leave earlier if Johnson’s deal is ratified by the House of Commons sooner.

Cause or symptom of a split?

According to the British prime minister, this should also be done as quickly as possible so that the government can turn its attention to other projects and the country does not continue to suffer "split" is. Whether this wish comes true, the future will show. It is also possible that the Brexit dispute is less a cause than a symptom of a political-cultural tribalism that has developed in other Western countries as well.

Perhaps his end does not change the fact that at Oxford University there are students who with holy seriousness forbid gossiping, while other Britons indulge in such Baizuos than the Chinese, who coined the term for this phenomenon. And it may not reare the latter that a prime minister will create tens of thousands of new police positions if these police officers then devote themselves to traps like this one (cf. Hate speech helicopter operation instead of terrorist surveillance).

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